PnL (30d)

+$1

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$323

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

9W / 2L · 266 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

151W / 126L

Trades (30d)

277

across 73 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.34

avg win $3 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.25

$5 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

0.63

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.7% 42W/48L	107	$11,727
₿ Crypto	81.8% 9W/2L	39	$3,637
💵 Economy	81.8% 9W/2L	37	$3,465

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

126 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	916	0.723	$662.44	$27.71	+4.4%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,005	0.645	$648.43	$-23.82	-3.5%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	670	0.915	$613.46	$80.77	+15.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	1,160	0.400	$463.85	$80.07	+20.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	688	0.660	$453.81	$48.11	+11.9%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	476	0.773	$368.40	$11.24	+3.1%
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	487	0.730	$355.41	$19.26	+5.7%
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	474	0.705	$334.50	$108.40	+47.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	410	0.735	$300.98	$-22.89	-7.1%
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	340	0.840	$285.60	$-7.06	-2.4%
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	287	0.935	$268.25	$53.01	+24.6%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	357	0.675	$241.11	$61.87	+34.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	500	0.455	$227.37	$-3.13	-1.4%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	427	0.530	$226.50	$17.01	+8.1%
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	257	0.845	$216.81	$94.45	+77.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	264	0.792	$208.92	$7.38	+3.7%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	202	0.935	$189.34	$74.89	+65.4%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.915	$183.01	$6.83	+3.9%
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	296	0.605	$178.88	$-23.08	-11.4%
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	195	0.785	$152.85	$8.83	+6.1%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	268	0.515	$137.94	$-7.02	-4.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	166	0.805	$134.02	$-1.17	-0.9%
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	266	0.485	$128.99	$21.10	+19.6%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	139	0.915	$127.59	$17.61	+16.0%
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	148	0.845	$124.74	$55.60	+80.4%