PnL (30d)

−$260

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$462

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

42W / 48L · 303 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

225W / 167L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

393

across 107 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$9.62

avg win $8 · loss $29

Profit Factor

0.30

$113 won / $372 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$177

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.7% 42W/48L	107	$11,727
₿ Crypto	81.8% 9W/2L	41	$3,748
💵 Economy	81.8% 9W/2L	39	$3,577

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

125 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	916	0.696	$637.61	$2.88	+0.5%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,005	0.625	$628.33	$-43.92	-6.5%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	670	0.875	$586.32	$53.64	+10.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	1,160	0.400	$463.85	$80.07	+20.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	688	0.665	$457.25	$51.55	+12.7%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	476	0.773	$368.16	$11.00	+3.1%
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	487	0.735	$357.84	$21.70	+6.5%
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	474	0.705	$334.50	$108.40	+47.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	410	0.750	$307.12	$-16.75	-5.2%
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	340	0.850	$289.00	$-3.66	-1.2%
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	287	0.940	$269.69	$54.45	+25.3%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	357	0.685	$244.68	$65.44	+36.5%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	427	0.540	$230.77	$21.28	+10.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	500	0.455	$227.37	$-3.13	-1.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	264	0.829	$218.55	$17.01	+8.4%
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	257	0.825	$211.67	$89.31	+73.0%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	202	0.935	$189.34	$74.89	+65.4%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	200	0.915	$183.01	$6.83	+3.9%
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	296	0.590	$174.45	$-27.51	-13.6%
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	195	0.805	$156.75	$12.73	+8.8%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	268	0.515	$137.94	$-7.02	-4.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	166	0.805	$134.02	$-1.17	-0.9%
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	266	0.485	$128.99	$21.10	+19.6%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	139	0.925	$128.98	$19.01	+17.3%
Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	148	0.850	$125.48	$56.34	+81.5%