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Trader

0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-30.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
8W / 10L
Win Return (30d)
44%
8W / 10L
Trades (30d)
18
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.35
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.39
$2 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.77
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,461 · all-time $60,785

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.9% 1,028W/659L 733 $3,623
🏛 Politics 100.0% 11W/0L 25 $123
🎬 Culture 56.8% 21W/16L 16 $70
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/13L 10 $41
🤖 Tech 60.0% 12W/8L 10 $58
🌤 Weather 14.3% 1W/6L 4 $2
🔬 Science 33.3% 1W/2L 2 $2
⚽ Sports 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? Yes 21 0.103 $2.19 $0.62 +39.2%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 8 0.241 $1.94 $0.22 +12.8%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31? Yes 53 0.036 $1.92 $0.34 +21.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 6 0.295 $1.82 $0.03 +1.7%
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? No 12 0.150 $1.78 $0.15 +9.1%
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? No 8 0.205 $1.71 $0.12 +7.9%
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? No 10 0.165 $1.61 $-0.05 -2.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? No 9 0.175 $1.51 $-0.13 -7.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 9 0.170 $1.48 $-0.26 -15.0%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? Yes 9 0.165 $1.45 $-0.22 -13.2%
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.280 $0.94 $0.27 +40.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? Yes 8 0.110 $0.94 $-0.77 -45.0%
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 16 0.058 $0.92 $-0.68 -42.5%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? No 9 0.080 $0.75 $-0.93 -55.5%
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? No 31 0.021 $0.67 $-0.90 -57.2%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 20 0.034 $0.67 $-0.93 -58.1%
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 13 0.051 $0.67 $-1.02 -60.4%
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? Yes 2 0.245 $0.57 $0.03 +6.5%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Yes 3 0.175 $0.54 $-0.08 -12.5%
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 3 0.140 $0.46 $-0.23 -33.3%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? Yes 10 0.033 $0.33 $-1.38 -80.6%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? No 15 0.015 $0.23 $0.01 +3.3%
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 6 0.029 $0.18 $-0.07 -26.3%
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 8 0.015 $0.12 $-1.59 -92.9%
GTA VI released before November 2026? Yes 1 0.028 $0.03 $-0.13 -81.4%