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Trader

0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-22.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
17W / 8L
Win Return (30d)
68%
17W / 8L
Trades (30d)
25
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.43
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.40
$2 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,388 · all-time $60,712

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.0% 1,026W/657L 733 $3,623
🏛 Politics 100.0% 11W/0L 25 $123
🎬 Culture 56.8% 21W/16L 16 $70
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/13L 10 $41
🤖 Tech 60.0% 12W/8L 10 $58
🌤 Weather 14.3% 1W/6L 4 $2
🔬 Science 33.3% 1W/2L 2 $2
⚽ Sports 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? Yes 21 0.105 $2.23 $0.66 +41.9%
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? Yes 10 0.195 $1.95 $0.25 +14.7%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 8 0.241 $1.94 $0.22 +12.8%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31? Yes 53 0.036 $1.90 $0.32 +20.0%
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? No 12 0.150 $1.78 $0.15 +9.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 9 0.190 $1.65 $-0.09 -5.0%
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? No 10 0.165 $1.61 $-0.05 -2.9%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? No 8 0.180 $1.47 $-0.25 -14.3%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? Yes 9 0.155 $1.36 $-0.31 -18.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 8 0.165 $1.31 $-0.44 -25.0%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? No 9 0.105 $0.98 $-0.70 -41.7%
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 3 0.290 $0.97 $0.30 +45.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? Yes 8 0.110 $0.94 $-0.77 -45.0%
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 16 0.055 $0.88 $-0.72 -45.0%
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 13 0.058 $0.75 $-0.93 -55.4%
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? No 31 0.021 $0.66 $-0.91 -58.0%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 20 0.030 $0.60 $-1.00 -62.5%
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? Yes 2 0.245 $0.57 $0.03 +6.5%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Yes 3 0.175 $0.54 $-0.08 -12.5%
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 3 0.140 $0.46 $-0.23 -33.3%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? No 51 0.008 $0.41 $-1.13 -73.3%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? Yes 10 0.033 $0.33 $-1.38 -80.6%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? No 15 0.019 $0.28 $0.06 +26.6%
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 6 0.031 $0.19 $-0.06 -22.5%
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 8 0.015 $0.12 $-1.59 -92.9%