| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.105 |
$2.24 |
$0.67 |
+42.6% |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
Yes |
10 |
0.200 |
$2.00 |
$0.30 |
+17.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.305 |
$1.97 |
$0.16 |
+8.9% |
| Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? |
Yes |
8 |
0.241 |
$1.94 |
$0.22 |
+12.8% |
| Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
12 |
0.154 |
$1.83 |
$0.19 |
+11.9% |
| Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31? |
Yes |
53 |
0.034 |
$1.79 |
$0.21 |
+13.3% |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? |
No |
8 |
0.210 |
$1.72 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.195 |
$1.69 |
$-0.04 |
-2.5% |
| Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? |
No |
10 |
0.170 |
$1.66 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
Yes |
8 |
0.195 |
$1.66 |
$-0.04 |
-2.5% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.030 |
$1.57 |
$0.03 |
+1.7% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? |
Yes |
9 |
0.170 |
$1.49 |
$-0.18 |
-10.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
8 |
0.175 |
$1.38 |
$-0.36 |
-20.5% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
9 |
0.135 |
$1.26 |
$-0.42 |
-25.0% |
| Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.290 |
$0.97 |
$0.30 |
+45.0% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
Yes |
16 |
0.054 |
$0.86 |
$-0.74 |
-46.0% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
No |
31 |
0.025 |
$0.80 |
$-0.77 |
-49.2% |
| Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
13 |
0.059 |
$0.77 |
$-0.91 |
-54.2% |
| Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.105 |
$0.73 |
$-0.39 |
-34.4% |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? |
Yes |
2 |
0.245 |
$0.57 |
$0.03 |
+6.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.175 |
$0.54 |
$-0.08 |
-12.5% |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? |
Yes |
3 |
0.140 |
$0.46 |
$-0.23 |
-33.3% |
| Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
20 |
0.021 |
$0.42 |
$-1.18 |
-73.8% |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
1 |
0.350 |
$0.35 |
$0.05 |
+16.6% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? |
Yes |
10 |
0.034 |
$0.34 |
$-1.37 |
-80.0% |