| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
560 |
0.970 |
$543.20 |
$344.66 |
+173.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
300 |
0.998 |
$298.90 |
$127.96 |
+74.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
409 |
0.665 |
$272.18 |
$22.84 |
+9.2% |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? |
No |
289 |
0.916 |
$264.76 |
$6.76 |
+2.6% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
264 |
0.995 |
$262.94 |
$38.58 |
+17.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
389 |
0.675 |
$262.91 |
$14.93 |
+6.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
341 |
0.765 |
$260.67 |
$11.93 |
+4.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat? |
Yes |
234 |
0.955 |
$223.92 |
$5.86 |
+2.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
1,177 |
0.180 |
$211.90 |
$-88.56 |
-29.5% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
643 |
0.321 |
$206.45 |
$110.57 |
+115.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
310 |
0.610 |
$188.86 |
$6.02 |
+3.3% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
184 |
0.954 |
$175.00 |
$-0.26 |
-0.1% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
206 |
0.765 |
$157.97 |
$107.96 |
+215.9% |
| Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
Yes |
300 |
0.525 |
$157.50 |
$94.50 |
+150.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
790 |
0.185 |
$146.23 |
$-26.49 |
-15.3% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
188 |
0.723 |
$136.08 |
$3.98 |
+3.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
1,189 |
0.095 |
$112.97 |
$-279.31 |
-71.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
118 |
0.905 |
$106.47 |
$52.42 |
+97.0% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
210 |
0.507 |
$106.30 |
$1.63 |
+1.6% |
| Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
888 |
0.102 |
$90.18 |
$1.39 |
+1.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.750 |
$80.87 |
$17.41 |
+27.4% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,221 |
0.055 |
$67.17 |
$-132.94 |
-66.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
1,199 |
0.055 |
$65.97 |
$-287.69 |
-81.3% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
262 |
0.250 |
$65.57 |
$-20.88 |
-24.2% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
294 |
0.215 |
$63.14 |
$-14.12 |
-18.3% |