| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
560 |
0.970 |
$542.92 |
$344.38 |
+173.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
300 |
0.999 |
$299.20 |
$128.26 |
+75.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
409 |
0.665 |
$272.18 |
$22.84 |
+9.2% |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? |
No |
289 |
0.916 |
$264.76 |
$6.76 |
+2.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
389 |
0.675 |
$262.91 |
$14.93 |
+6.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
341 |
0.770 |
$262.37 |
$13.63 |
+5.5% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
264 |
0.965 |
$254.88 |
$30.52 |
+13.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.785 |
$235.32 |
$91.35 |
+63.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat? |
Yes |
234 |
0.955 |
$223.92 |
$5.86 |
+2.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
1,177 |
0.180 |
$211.90 |
$-88.56 |
-29.5% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
643 |
0.323 |
$207.74 |
$111.85 |
+116.7% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
184 |
0.954 |
$175.00 |
$-0.26 |
-0.1% |
| Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
Yes |
300 |
0.525 |
$157.50 |
$94.50 |
+150.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
188 |
0.731 |
$137.68 |
$5.58 |
+4.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
1,189 |
0.105 |
$124.86 |
$-267.41 |
-68.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
210 |
0.510 |
$106.93 |
$2.26 |
+2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
118 |
0.895 |
$105.30 |
$51.25 |
+94.8% |
| Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
888 |
0.100 |
$88.85 |
$0.06 |
+0.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.775 |
$83.57 |
$20.10 |
+31.7% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
294 |
0.260 |
$76.35 |
$-0.91 |
-1.2% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,221 |
0.055 |
$67.17 |
$-132.94 |
-66.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
1,199 |
0.055 |
$65.97 |
$-287.69 |
-81.3% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
128 |
0.489 |
$62.68 |
$0.34 |
+0.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.200 |
$59.83 |
$13.44 |
+29.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
262 |
0.225 |
$59.01 |
$-27.43 |
-31.7% |