| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
560 |
0.968 |
$541.80 |
$343.26 |
+172.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
300 |
0.999 |
$299.20 |
$128.26 |
+75.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
409 |
0.665 |
$272.18 |
$22.84 |
+9.2% |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? |
No |
289 |
0.916 |
$264.76 |
$6.76 |
+2.6% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
264 |
1.000 |
$264.13 |
$39.77 |
+17.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
389 |
0.675 |
$262.91 |
$14.93 |
+6.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
341 |
0.765 |
$260.67 |
$11.93 |
+4.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat? |
Yes |
234 |
0.955 |
$223.92 |
$5.86 |
+2.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
1,199 |
0.185 |
$221.90 |
$-28.53 |
-11.4% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
1,177 |
0.180 |
$211.90 |
$-88.56 |
-29.5% |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
643 |
0.320 |
$205.81 |
$109.92 |
+114.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
346 |
0.590 |
$204.03 |
$0.19 |
+0.1% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? |
Down |
206 |
0.880 |
$181.71 |
$131.70 |
+263.3% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
184 |
0.954 |
$175.00 |
$-0.26 |
-0.1% |
| Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
Yes |
300 |
0.540 |
$162.00 |
$99.00 |
+157.1% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
188 |
0.757 |
$142.58 |
$10.48 |
+7.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
118 |
0.910 |
$107.06 |
$53.01 |
+98.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
1,189 |
0.090 |
$107.02 |
$-285.25 |
-72.7% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
210 |
0.506 |
$106.09 |
$1.42 |
+1.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.835 |
$90.04 |
$26.57 |
+41.9% |
| Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
Yes |
888 |
0.101 |
$89.29 |
$0.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.235 |
$70.47 |
$24.08 |
+51.9% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,221 |
0.055 |
$67.17 |
$-132.94 |
-66.4% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
128 |
0.493 |
$63.19 |
$0.85 |
+1.4% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
294 |
0.215 |
$63.14 |
$-14.12 |
-18.3% |