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Trader

0x3654e2c92f08f722e8983db1f5d48c8962bf1b78
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$898
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
3,780W / 2,365L · 53 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
3,785W / 2,376L · 37 open
Trades (30d)
6,198
across 1,895 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.49
avg win $7 · loss $10
Profit Factor
1.13
$8,010 won / $7,112 lost
Reward / Risk
0.70
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$776
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,319 · all-time $1,372,836

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.4% 4,684W/3,074L 2606 $47,948
⚽ Sports 61.5% 3,780W/2,365L 1895 $37,052
₿ Crypto 60.8% 31W/20L 31 $496
🏛 Politics 82.1% 46W/10L 28 $887
💵 Economy 81.5% 44W/10L 25 $904
🎬 Culture 68.8% 11W/5L 16 $195

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

141 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 105 0.991 $104.19 $0.61 +0.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 174 0.545 $94.63 $16.53 +21.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 60 0.986 $59.35 $-0.23 -0.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 55 0.985 $54.33 $0.50 +0.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 42 0.995 $41.90 $1.68 +4.2%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group Nongshim Red Force 82 0.455 $37.45 $-10.55 -22.0%
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Zsombor Piros 30 1.000 $29.98 $1.89 +6.7%
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 30 0.999 $29.98 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 31 0.953 $29.70 $0.10 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? No 30 0.974 $29.23 $-0.13 -0.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? No 30 0.943 $28.32 $-0.39 -1.4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No 46 0.485 $22.25 $-5.35 -19.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? Yes 21 0.991 $20.74 $0.82 +4.1%
Will Solana dip to $50 in August? No 21 0.981 $20.61 $-0.01 -0.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 25 0.825 $20.38 $1.48 +7.8%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $0.02 +0.1%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.998 $19.95 $0.01 +0.0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.92 $-0.04 -0.2%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.92 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 20 0.987 $19.90 $0.10 +0.5%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.994 $19.88 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? No 20 0.986 $19.74 $0.14 +0.7%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.57 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 20 0.925 $18.50 $-0.10 -0.5%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) Top Esports 31 0.595 $18.23 $-0.37 -2.0%