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Trader

0x3654e2c92f08f722e8983db1f5d48c8962bf1b78
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$73
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-14.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
31W / 20L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
37W / 32L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
71
across 31 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.86
avg win $3 · loss $19
Profit Factor
0.37
$43 won / $116 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$103
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,095 · all-time $1,372,836

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.4% 4,684W/3,074L 2606 $47,948
⚽ Sports 61.5% 3,780W/2,365L 1895 $37,052
₿ Crypto 60.8% 31W/20L 31 $496
🏛 Politics 82.1% 46W/10L 28 $887
💵 Economy 81.5% 44W/10L 25 $904
🎬 Culture 68.8% 11W/5L 16 $195

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

133 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 105 0.991 $104.19 $0.61 +0.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 163 0.535 $86.96 $14.96 +20.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 60 0.987 $59.41 $-0.17 -0.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 55 0.984 $54.27 $0.44 +0.8%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 40 0.997 $40.32 $1.74 +4.5%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group Nongshim Red Force 61 0.515 $31.48 $-1.72 -5.2%
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 30 0.999 $29.98 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 31 0.953 $29.70 $0.10 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? No 30 0.975 $29.24 $-0.12 -0.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? No 30 0.944 $28.33 $-0.38 -1.3%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs 1win 61 0.425 $25.76 $-3.54 -12.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No 46 0.485 $22.25 $-5.35 -19.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? Yes 21 0.990 $20.72 $0.80 +4.0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in August? No 21 0.981 $20.61 $-0.01 -0.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 25 0.825 $20.38 $1.48 +7.8%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $0.02 +0.1%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.998 $19.95 $0.01 +0.0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.92 $-0.04 -0.2%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.92 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 20 0.987 $19.91 $0.11 +0.6%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.994 $19.88 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? No 20 0.983 $19.68 $0.08 +0.4%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.57 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 20 0.925 $18.50 $-0.10 -0.5%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) Top Esports 31 0.595 $18.23 $-0.37 -2.0%