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Trader

0x3654e2c92f08f722e8983db1f5d48c8962bf1b78
PnL (30d)
+$792
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$28
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
4,682W / 3,071L · 244 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
4,762W / 3,153L · 82 open
Trades (30d)
7,997
across 2,605 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.32
avg win $7 · loss $10
Profit Factor
1.08
$10,117 won / $9,326 lost
Reward / Risk
0.68
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$960
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,958 · all-time $1,372,699

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.4% 4,682W/3,071L 2605 $47,942
⚽ Sports 61.5% 3,779W/2,363L 1894 $37,046
₿ Crypto 60.8% 31W/20L 31 $496
🏛 Politics 82.1% 46W/10L 28 $887
💵 Economy 81.5% 44W/10L 25 $904
🎬 Culture 68.8% 11W/5L 16 $195

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

125 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 105 0.991 $104.19 $0.61 +0.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 148 0.535 $79.23 $15.03 +23.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 60 0.987 $59.41 $-0.17 -0.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 55 0.984 $54.27 $0.44 +0.8%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 40 0.997 $40.32 $1.74 +4.5%
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 30 0.999 $29.98 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 31 0.953 $29.70 $0.10 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? No 30 0.975 $29.24 $-0.12 -0.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? No 30 0.944 $28.33 $-0.38 -1.3%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs 1win 61 0.465 $28.19 $-1.11 -3.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No 46 0.495 $22.71 $-4.89 -17.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? Yes 21 0.992 $20.76 $0.85 +4.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 25 0.835 $20.63 $1.73 +9.1%
Will Solana dip to $50 in August? No 21 0.981 $20.62 $0.00 +0.0%
ITF Tianjin: Donghyun Hwang vs Daisuke Sumizawa Donghyun Hwang 20 1.000 $19.99 $2.49 +14.2%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $0.02 +0.1%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.998 $19.95 $0.01 +0.0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.91 $-0.05 -0.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 20 0.987 $19.90 $0.10 +0.5%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.995 $19.90 $-0.04 -0.2%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.994 $19.88 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? No 20 0.985 $19.71 $0.11 +0.6%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.57 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 20 0.925 $18.50 $-0.10 -0.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 20 0.785 $15.70 $11.80 +302.6%