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Trader leaderboard/richardd

richardd

0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$33
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-3.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
36W / 118L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
36W / 118L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
164
across 24 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$1.42
avg win $5 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.40
$22 won / $54 lost
Reward / Risk
1.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$16
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,948 · all-time $1,483,282

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.7% 698W/1,059L 545 $47,270
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 18 $1,188
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 15 $785
⚽ Sports 52.6% 10W/9L 8 $229
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/35L 8 $140
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/38L 6 $1,020
🎬 Culture 5 $148
₿ Crypto 1 $37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 6,500 0.790 $5,138.25 $1,888.25 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,500 0.209 $1,361.75 $-1,834.47 -57.4%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B? No 283 0.820 $231.81 $11.02 +5.0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $90B? No 296 0.750 $221.93 $23.08 +11.6%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $95B? No 212 0.945 $200.33 $14.20 +7.6%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? Yes 201 0.940 $189.25 $15.78 +9.1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $100B? No 120 0.935 $112.20 $2.20 +2.0%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $16B? Yes 130 0.705 $91.76 $11.42 +14.2%
Will Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be at least $1B at market close on IPO day? Yes 216 0.375 $80.97 $42.19 +108.8%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $15B? Yes 77 0.840 $64.34 $-4.36 -6.4%
Will Edward Pope be the FL-16 Republican nominee? No 61 0.987 $60.21 $1.60 +2.7%
Will Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day? No 77 0.571 $43.81 $-15.28 -25.9%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? No 50 0.865 $43.25 $-1.75 -3.9%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028? No 41 0.745 $30.55 $-1.95 -6.0%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 77 0.375 $29.00 $11.73 +68.0%
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 169 0.161 $27.16 $15.69 +136.8%
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 22 0.986 $21.68 $0.05 +0.3%
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 21 0.996 $20.91 $-0.06 -0.3%
Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 100 0.197 $19.65 $7.01 +55.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026? No 20 0.875 $17.48 $4.30 +32.6%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by August 31? No 21 0.820 $17.22 $12.63 +275.6%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 12, 2026? No 20 0.850 $17.00 $0.40 +2.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? No 20 0.840 $16.80 $2.40 +16.7%
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in July? Yes 100 0.165 $16.50 $1.50 +10.0%
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? No 20 0.800 $16.00 $-2.40 -13.0%