Log in
Trader leaderboard/richardd

richardd

0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$63
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$66
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
28W / 46L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
30%
32W / 76L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
116
across 40 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$2.51
avg win $16 · loss $5
Profit Factor
1.74
$148 won / $85 lost
Reward / Risk
3.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,534 · all-time $1,482,714

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.4% 689W/1,059L 536 $45,698
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 17 $1,151
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 13 $401
⚽ Sports 52.6% 10W/9L 8 $229
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/35L 8 $140
🎬 Culture 4 $111
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/38L 4 $636
₿ Crypto 1 $37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 6,500 0.790 $5,138.25 $1,888.25 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,500 0.209 $1,361.75 $-1,834.47 -57.4%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B? No 283 0.820 $231.81 $11.02 +5.0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $90B? No 296 0.750 $221.93 $23.08 +11.6%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $95B? No 212 0.945 $200.33 $14.20 +7.6%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? Yes 201 0.935 $188.24 $14.77 +8.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $100B? No 120 0.935 $112.20 $2.20 +2.0%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $16B? Yes 130 0.600 $78.09 $-2.25 -2.8%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $15B? Yes 77 0.885 $67.79 $-0.92 -1.3%
Will Edward Pope be the FL-16 Republican nominee? No 61 0.980 $59.78 $1.17 +2.0%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028? No 60 0.770 $46.20 $3.00 +6.9%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? No 50 0.865 $43.25 $-1.75 -3.9%
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 169 0.185 $31.30 $19.83 +172.9%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028? No 41 0.745 $30.55 $-1.95 -6.0%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 77 0.350 $27.10 $9.84 +57.0%
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 22 0.984 $21.64 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 21 0.996 $20.91 $-0.06 -0.3%
Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 100 0.192 $19.20 $6.56 +51.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 12, 2026? No 20 0.865 $17.30 $0.70 +4.2%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by August 31? No 21 0.815 $17.11 $12.53 +273.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? No 20 0.835 $16.70 $2.30 +16.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026? No 20 0.815 $16.28 $3.09 +23.5%
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? No 20 0.800 $16.00 $-2.40 -13.0%
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in July? Yes 100 0.145 $14.50 $-0.50 -3.3%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 200 0.067 $13.30 $1.70 +14.7%