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Trader leaderboard/richardd

richardd

0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588
PnL (30d)
+$1,186
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$85
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
689W / 1,059L · 790 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
1,005W / 1,437L · 96 open
Trades (30d)
2,538
across 534 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$3.49
avg win $24 · loss $7
Profit Factor
1.77
$2,734 won / $1,549 lost
Reward / Risk
3.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$133
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,254 · all-time $1,482,434

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.4% 689W/1,059L 534 $45,647
💵 Economy 20.0% 2W/8L 18 $606
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 17 $1,136
⚽ Sports 52.6% 10W/9L 16 $395
🎬 Culture 9 $177
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/39L 9 $143
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/38L 4 $636
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $39

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

60 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 6,500 0.790 $5,138.25 $1,888.25 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,500 0.209 $1,361.75 $-1,834.47 -57.4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $90B? No 296 0.825 $244.13 $45.28 +22.8%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B? No 283 0.810 $228.99 $8.19 +3.7%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? Yes 201 0.925 $186.23 $12.76 +7.4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $95B? No 182 0.945 $171.98 $14.05 +8.9%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $100B? No 120 0.935 $112.20 $2.20 +2.0%
Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 270 0.304 $82.14 $63.83 +348.5%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $15B? Yes 77 0.820 $62.81 $-5.90 -8.6%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $16B? Yes 130 0.475 $61.83 $-18.51 -23.0%
Will Edward Pope be the FL-16 Republican nominee? No 61 0.978 $59.63 $1.02 +1.7%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028? No 60 0.770 $46.20 $3.00 +6.9%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? No 50 0.860 $43.00 $-2.00 -4.4%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028? No 41 0.710 $29.11 $-3.39 -10.4%
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 77 0.359 $27.76 $10.50 +60.8%
Will Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 22 0.984 $21.64 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? No 21 0.996 $20.91 $-0.06 -0.3%
Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 100 0.201 $20.10 $7.46 +59.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 12, 2026? No 20 0.850 $17.00 $0.40 +2.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? No 20 0.835 $16.70 $2.30 +16.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026? No 20 0.835 $16.68 $3.50 +26.5%
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? No 20 0.800 $16.00 $-2.40 -13.0%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $85B by August 31? No 21 0.745 $15.64 $11.06 +241.2%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? Yes 200 0.067 $13.30 $1.70 +14.7%
Will Dillon Ward win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? No 20 0.601 $12.01 $-6.39 -34.7%