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Trader

0x31b2fb490b2050db62ebb6fd16239491b2401f93
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-22.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
12W / 10L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
12W / 10L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
26
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.19
avg win $1 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.32
$3 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $279 · all-time $82,276

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.8% 100W/70L 55 $486
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/15L 4 $38
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $14
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/10L 2 $16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? No 11 0.916 $9.82 $0.18 +1.8%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 56 0.146 $8.18 $4.50 +122.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 21 0.346 $7.37 $-2.23 -23.2%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 8 0.964 $7.34 $1.55 +26.7%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 7 0.935 $6.20 $0.41 +7.1%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 6 0.980 $6.16 $0.12 +2.1%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No 7 0.880 $6.07 $0.28 +4.8%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 7 0.823 $6.03 $3.65 +153.7%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 7 0.875 $5.96 $0.17 +2.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 7 0.865 $5.89 $0.10 +1.8%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.955 $5.61 $0.79 +16.5%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No 6 0.855 $5.49 $0.67 +14.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 5 0.835 $4.25 $0.39 +10.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 5 0.935 $4.23 $0.41 +10.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.640 $4.22 $0.36 +9.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.845 $4.13 $0.27 +7.0%
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026? No 5 0.745 $3.91 $-0.92 -19.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 10 0.385 $3.73 $1.99 +113.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.755 $2.08 $0.15 +7.9%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes 2 0.863 $1.99 $0.06 +3.0%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 26 0.070 $1.82 $-1.94 -51.7%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? Yes 6 0.258 $1.63 $-3.19 -66.1%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 4 0.180 $0.68 $-2.94 -81.3%