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Trader

0x31b2fb490b2050db62ebb6fd16239491b2401f93
PnL (30d)
−$23
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
100W / 70L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
113W / 79L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
203
across 55 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.59
avg win $5 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.81
$99 won / $122 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$22
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $279 · all-time $82,276

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.8% 100W/70L 55 $486
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/17L 6 $53
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $13
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $14
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/10L 2 $16
₿ Crypto 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? No 11 0.916 $9.82 $0.18 +1.8%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 56 0.146 $8.18 $4.50 +122.2%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 8 0.964 $7.34 $1.55 +26.7%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 21 0.327 $6.96 $-2.64 -27.5%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 7 0.935 $6.20 $0.41 +7.1%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 6 0.980 $6.16 $0.12 +2.1%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No 7 0.880 $6.07 $0.28 +4.8%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 7 0.823 $6.03 $3.65 +153.7%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 7 0.875 $5.96 $0.17 +2.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 7 0.865 $5.89 $0.10 +1.8%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.955 $5.61 $0.79 +16.5%
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No 6 0.855 $5.49 $0.67 +14.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 5 0.835 $4.25 $0.39 +10.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 5 0.935 $4.23 $0.41 +10.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.640 $4.22 $0.36 +9.4%
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026? No 5 0.800 $4.20 $-0.63 -13.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.845 $4.13 $0.27 +7.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 10 0.385 $3.73 $1.99 +113.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 3 0.755 $2.08 $0.15 +7.9%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes 2 0.863 $1.99 $0.06 +3.0%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 26 0.069 $1.80 $-1.96 -52.0%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? Yes 6 0.262 $1.65 $-3.17 -65.7%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 4 0.175 $0.66 $-2.96 -81.9%