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Trader leaderboard/truthteller

truthteller

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$59
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
21%
4W / 15L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
27
across 4 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $579,820 · all-time $144,484,635

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 21.3% 176W/651L 58 $960,494
💵 Economy 42.7% 56W/75L 16 $207,296
🏛 Politics 44.4% 56W/70L 12 $207,312
₿ Crypto 4 $6,503
🤖 Tech 1 $1,950

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 155,818 0.093 $14,568.96 $9,410.77 +182.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 23,000 0.245 $5,635.00 $115.00 +2.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 995 0.985 $979.97 $-6.43 -0.7%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes 8,699 0.095 $826.40 $-989.73 -54.5%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 6,995 0.114 $793.89 $88.09 +12.5%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes 11,235 0.056 $623.53 $-434.09 -41.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,796 0.155 $588.33 $-60.37 -9.3%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes 13,789 0.018 $248.20 $-134.81 -35.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,924 0.080 $233.89 $-99.67 -29.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 183 0.895 $163.94 $76.02 +86.5%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 145 0.965 $140.17 $3.12 +2.3%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 8,843 0.009 $84.01 $-27.15 -24.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 795 0.045 $35.79 $-7.70 -17.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 9 0.845 $7.31 $3.76 +106.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.115 $2.84 $0.37 +15.0%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 36 0.023 $0.82 $-5.26 -86.5%