| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
155,818 |
0.090 |
$14,101.50 |
$8,943.31 |
+173.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
23,000 |
0.245 |
$5,635.00 |
$115.00 |
+2.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
12,254 |
0.165 |
$2,021.95 |
$-602.41 |
-23.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
995 |
0.985 |
$979.97 |
$-6.43 |
-0.7% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,699 |
0.095 |
$826.40 |
$-989.73 |
-54.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
6,995 |
0.114 |
$793.89 |
$88.09 |
+12.5% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
11,235 |
0.055 |
$617.91 |
$-439.71 |
-41.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,796 |
0.155 |
$588.33 |
$-60.37 |
-9.3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,924 |
0.080 |
$233.89 |
$-99.67 |
-29.9% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
13,783 |
0.015 |
$206.75 |
$-176.19 |
-46.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
183 |
0.855 |
$156.61 |
$68.69 |
+78.1% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
145 |
0.964 |
$140.10 |
$3.04 |
+2.2% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,843 |
0.009 |
$84.01 |
$-27.15 |
-24.4% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
795 |
0.045 |
$35.79 |
$-7.70 |
-17.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.840 |
$7.26 |
$3.72 |
+104.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.115 |
$2.84 |
$0.37 |
+15.0% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
36 |
0.019 |
$0.70 |
$-5.39 |
-88.5% |