| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
10,729 |
0.825 |
$8,851.47 |
$-572.18 |
-6.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
8,175 |
0.972 |
$7,946.05 |
$-53.95 |
-0.7% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
8,094 |
0.910 |
$7,365.73 |
$2,207.07 |
+42.8% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
13,957 |
0.420 |
$5,862.11 |
$-2,876.73 |
-32.9% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
2,611 |
0.925 |
$2,414.87 |
$210.62 |
+9.6% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
6,300 |
0.315 |
$1,984.43 |
$-1,484.58 |
-42.8% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
1,500 |
0.922 |
$1,382.73 |
$127.16 |
+10.1% |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.970 |
$969.50 |
$69.50 |
+7.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,625 |
0.395 |
$641.87 |
$-8.11 |
-1.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.605 |
$604.99 |
$45.00 |
+8.0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
500 |
0.820 |
$409.99 |
$70.00 |
+20.6% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
No |
548 |
0.725 |
$397.58 |
$134.62 |
+51.2% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
627 |
0.595 |
$373.26 |
$194.26 |
+108.5% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.745 |
$372.50 |
$2.50 |
+0.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
423 |
0.745 |
$314.78 |
$14.79 |
+4.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
1,429 |
0.215 |
$307.14 |
$-692.86 |
-69.3% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
500 |
0.580 |
$289.99 |
$55.93 |
+23.9% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
311 |
0.795 |
$246.99 |
$46.99 |
+23.5% |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? |
Yes |
392 |
0.605 |
$237.01 |
$146.34 |
+161.4% |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? |
No |
235 |
0.955 |
$224.43 |
$78.48 |
+53.8% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
222 |
0.954 |
$211.42 |
$7.43 |
+3.6% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.936 |
$140.21 |
$33.85 |
+31.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
303 |
0.285 |
$86.30 |
$-113.70 |
-56.9% |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people? |
Yes |
535 |
0.133 |
$71.16 |
$43.03 |
+153.0% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
73 |
0.890 |
$64.88 |
$18.95 |
+41.3% |