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Trader leaderboard/Orion96

Orion96

0x3069c1002bd0bb6aec054c7a27722919df95f8ef
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5,209
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2,370
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+18.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
30W / 5L · 39 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
30W / 44L
Trades (30d)
74
across 8 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$1,041.82
avg win $1,752 · loss $23
Profit Factor
113.71
$5,255 won / $46 lost
Reward / Risk
75.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,134 · all-time $1,659,938

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 88.9% 56W/7L 19 $63,136
🎬 Culture 3 $3,066
🌤 Weather 2 $486
🔬 Science 2 $486

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 10,729 0.840 $9,012.41 $-411.24 -4.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 8,175 0.968 $7,909.26 $-90.73 -1.1%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 8,094 0.910 $7,365.73 $2,207.07 +42.8%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No 13,946 0.420 $5,857.20 $-2,876.88 -32.9%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 2,611 0.925 $2,414.87 $210.62 +9.6%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes 6,300 0.300 $1,889.93 $-1,579.08 -45.5%
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No 1,500 0.921 $1,381.98 $126.41 +10.1%
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.970 $969.50 $69.50 +7.7%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 1,625 0.405 $658.12 $8.14 +1.3%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 1,000 0.605 $604.99 $45.00 +8.0%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 500 0.820 $409.99 $70.00 +20.6%
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No 548 0.725 $397.58 $134.62 +51.2%
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 627 0.595 $373.26 $194.26 +108.5%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes 500 0.745 $372.50 $2.50 +0.7%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 423 0.745 $314.78 $14.79 +4.9%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 1,429 0.215 $307.14 $-692.86 -69.3%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 500 0.580 $289.99 $55.93 +23.9%
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 311 0.790 $245.44 $45.44 +22.7%
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? Yes 392 0.605 $237.01 $146.34 +161.4%
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? No 235 0.955 $224.43 $78.48 +53.8%
US military draft authorized in 2026? No 222 0.954 $211.42 $7.43 +3.6%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No 150 0.941 $140.96 $34.60 +32.5%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 303 0.295 $89.36 $-110.64 -55.3%
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? Yes 535 0.132 $70.62 $42.50 +151.1%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 73 0.885 $64.52 $18.59 +40.5%