| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
10,729 |
0.835 |
$8,958.76 |
$-464.89 |
-4.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
8,175 |
0.968 |
$7,913.35 |
$-86.65 |
-1.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
8,094 |
0.910 |
$7,365.73 |
$2,207.07 |
+42.8% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
13,936 |
0.440 |
$6,131.72 |
$-2,598.27 |
-29.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
2,611 |
0.925 |
$2,414.87 |
$210.62 |
+9.6% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
6,300 |
0.330 |
$2,078.93 |
$-1,390.08 |
-40.1% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
1,500 |
0.920 |
$1,380.48 |
$124.91 |
+9.9% |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.970 |
$969.50 |
$69.50 |
+7.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,625 |
0.405 |
$658.12 |
$8.14 |
+1.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.605 |
$604.99 |
$45.00 |
+8.0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
500 |
0.820 |
$409.99 |
$70.00 |
+20.6% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
No |
548 |
0.725 |
$397.58 |
$134.62 |
+51.2% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.745 |
$372.50 |
$2.50 |
+0.7% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
627 |
0.580 |
$363.85 |
$184.85 |
+103.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
423 |
0.745 |
$314.78 |
$14.79 |
+4.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
1,429 |
0.215 |
$307.14 |
$-692.86 |
-69.3% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
500 |
0.560 |
$279.99 |
$45.93 |
+19.6% |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? |
Yes |
392 |
0.650 |
$254.64 |
$163.96 |
+180.8% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
311 |
0.795 |
$246.99 |
$46.99 |
+23.5% |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? |
No |
235 |
0.955 |
$224.43 |
$78.48 |
+53.8% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
222 |
0.954 |
$211.42 |
$7.43 |
+3.6% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.936 |
$140.28 |
$33.93 |
+31.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
303 |
0.285 |
$86.30 |
$-113.70 |
-56.9% |
| Will Trump deport 500-600k people? |
Yes |
535 |
0.132 |
$70.62 |
$42.50 |
+151.1% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
73 |
0.895 |
$65.25 |
$19.32 |
+42.1% |