PollWatcher
0x2ef9ca7f78f9427aff19cd56fc1ed7c8b64ed9b1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$50
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
78W / 36L
Win Return (30d)
68%
78W / 36L
Trades (30d)
114
across 30 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.68
avg win $11 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.81
$216 won / $267 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$65
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,273 · all-time $121,065
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? |
Yes |
400 |
0.992 |
$396.80 |
$2.40 |
+0.6% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
695 |
0.355 |
$246.86 |
$3.48 |
+1.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
205 |
0.980 |
$200.50 |
$-1.02 |
-0.5% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
116 |
0.685 |
$79.65 |
$18.02 |
+29.2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? |
No |
80 |
0.967 |
$77.32 |
$-0.68 |
-0.9% |