PollWatcher
0x2ef9ca7f78f9427aff19cd56fc1ed7c8b64ed9b1
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$50
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
78W / 36L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
78W / 37L
Trades (30d)
115
across 31 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.68
avg win $11 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.81
$216 won / $267 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$65
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,113 · all-time $121,065
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
515 |
0.985 |
$506.61 |
$-0.56 |
-0.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? |
Yes |
400 |
0.993 |
$397.20 |
$2.80 |
+0.7% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? |
No |
280 |
0.975 |
$273.00 |
$0.60 |
+0.2% |