PollWatcher
0x2ef9ca7f78f9427aff19cd56fc1ed7c8b64ed9b1
PnL (30d)
−$284
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
184W / 72L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
186W / 72L
Trades (30d)
258
across 73 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$3.95
avg win $18 · loss $47
Profit Factor
0.75
$845 won / $1,130 lost
Reward / Risk
0.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$301
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,264 · all-time $121,056
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? |
Yes |
400 |
0.991 |
$396.20 |
$1.80 |
+0.5% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
733 |
0.355 |
$260.10 |
$3.66 |
+1.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
205 |
0.983 |
$201.01 |
$-0.51 |
-0.3% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? |
No |
80 |
0.970 |
$77.60 |
$-0.40 |
-0.5% |