| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
15,555 |
0.835 |
$12,988.42 |
$399.98 |
+3.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
4,620 |
0.590 |
$2,725.56 |
$614.58 |
+29.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
2,668 |
0.999 |
$2,663.53 |
$780.80 |
+41.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
2,710 |
0.890 |
$2,412.32 |
$108.42 |
+4.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
2,500 |
0.940 |
$2,350.00 |
$50.00 |
+2.2% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? |
No |
2,135 |
0.875 |
$1,867.74 |
$426.28 |
+29.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
2,596 |
0.530 |
$1,375.99 |
$346.96 |
+33.7% |
| Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? |
No |
1,071 |
0.958 |
$1,026.30 |
$54.52 |
+5.6% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
975 |
0.716 |
$697.63 |
$-40.28 |
-5.5% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
No |
907 |
0.665 |
$603.04 |
$-131.49 |
-17.9% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
242 |
0.945 |
$228.68 |
$12.31 |
+5.7% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? |
No |
343 |
0.595 |
$204.08 |
$-60.12 |
-22.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? |
No |
280 |
0.305 |
$85.40 |
$63.00 |
+281.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
48 |
0.825 |
$39.70 |
$9.90 |
+33.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
Yes |
50 |
0.620 |
$31.09 |
$3.51 |
+12.7% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
65 |
0.455 |
$29.57 |
$-0.17 |
-0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
114 |
0.215 |
$24.51 |
$-30.21 |
-55.2% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.10 |
$1.50 |
+9.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
18 |
0.545 |
$9.94 |
$0.09 |
+0.9% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
51 |
0.175 |
$8.92 |
$-22.72 |
-71.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
17 |
0.485 |
$8.05 |
$0.06 |
+0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
2,755 |
0.002 |
$4.13 |
$-877.61 |
-99.5% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
No |
5 |
0.400 |
$2.00 |
$-1.15 |
-36.5% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
No |
6 |
0.270 |
$1.68 |
$-1.86 |
-52.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
356 |
0.002 |
$0.53 |
$-0.89 |
-62.5% |