| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
15,555 |
0.835 |
$12,988.42 |
$399.98 |
+3.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
4,620 |
0.590 |
$2,725.56 |
$614.58 |
+29.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
2,668 |
0.999 |
$2,663.53 |
$780.80 |
+41.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
2,710 |
0.890 |
$2,412.32 |
$108.42 |
+4.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
2,500 |
0.930 |
$2,325.00 |
$25.00 |
+1.1% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? |
No |
2,135 |
0.870 |
$1,857.07 |
$415.61 |
+28.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
2,596 |
0.531 |
$1,378.58 |
$349.55 |
+34.0% |
| Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? |
No |
1,071 |
0.960 |
$1,028.44 |
$56.67 |
+5.8% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
975 |
0.715 |
$696.65 |
$-41.25 |
-5.6% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
No |
907 |
0.665 |
$603.04 |
$-131.49 |
-17.9% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
242 |
0.910 |
$220.21 |
$3.84 |
+1.8% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? |
No |
343 |
0.590 |
$202.37 |
$-61.84 |
-23.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? |
No |
280 |
0.325 |
$91.00 |
$68.60 |
+306.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
48 |
0.825 |
$39.70 |
$9.90 |
+33.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
Yes |
50 |
0.620 |
$31.09 |
$3.51 |
+12.7% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
65 |
0.460 |
$29.90 |
$0.15 |
+0.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
114 |
0.215 |
$24.51 |
$-30.21 |
-55.2% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.10 |
$1.50 |
+9.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
18 |
0.535 |
$9.75 |
$-0.09 |
-0.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
17 |
0.485 |
$8.05 |
$0.06 |
+0.7% |
| Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
51 |
0.105 |
$5.35 |
$-26.29 |
-83.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
2,755 |
0.002 |
$4.13 |
$-877.61 |
-99.5% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
No |
5 |
0.400 |
$2.00 |
$-1.15 |
-36.5% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
No |
6 |
0.285 |
$1.77 |
$-1.77 |
-50.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
356 |
0.002 |
$0.53 |
$-0.89 |
-62.5% |