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asdssss

0x2be61c1adfa360aba1a144ec3a6bcdd94ab9e054
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
7W / 16L · 151 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
84W / 88L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
174
across 35 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.61
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.19
$1 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,323 · all-time $1,963,107

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.1% 2,098W/2,179L 448 $7,841
🏛 Politics 88.5% 224W/29L 35 $728
🎬 Culture 89.5% 213W/25L 10 $381
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 9 $93
₿ Crypto 3 $62
⚽ Sports 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

71 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Daniella Marques be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? Yes 9 0.470 $4.40 $4.12 +1466.6%
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? Yes 40 0.070 $2.80 $-0.80 -22.2%
Will Aníbal Ostoa Ortega win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? Yes 8 0.315 $2.66 $2.15 +425.0%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Yes 16 0.141 $2.21 $-2.29 -50.9%
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No 4 0.560 $2.03 $0.80 +64.7%
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition No 7 0.295 $2.01 $-0.24 -10.6%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes 10 0.190 $1.96 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Paulina Aguado Romero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? Yes 6 0.325 $1.95 $1.77 +983.3%
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes 20 0.091 $1.85 $-0.62 -25.0%
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? No 3 0.620 $1.64 $1.03 +169.5%
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.635 $1.41 $0.81 +135.2%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes 15 0.090 $1.35 $-0.45 -25.0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes 3 0.380 $1.31 $0.38 +40.7%
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? Yes 2 0.605 $1.31 $0.55 +72.9%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes 19 0.068 $1.28 $-0.12 -8.8%
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes 5 0.275 $1.27 $0.12 +10.0%
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 10 0.097 $0.99 $-0.21 -17.5%
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No 1 0.923 $0.93 $0.56 +149.4%
Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? Yes 60 0.015 $0.87 $0.27 +45.0%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes 2 0.395 $0.83 $0.37 +79.5%
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? Yes 4 0.170 $0.67 $0.04 +6.2%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? Yes 3 0.195 $0.64 $-0.00 -0.6%
Will Donald Trump endorse Elon Musk in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes 16 0.040 $0.64 $0.16 +33.3%
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%? Yes 17 0.036 $0.62 $-0.01 -1.4%
Will LDPR win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 40 0.015 $0.60 $-0.20 -25.0%