| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? |
Yes |
40 |
0.070 |
$2.80 |
$-0.80 |
-22.2% |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
No |
4 |
0.560 |
$2.03 |
$0.80 |
+64.7% |
| California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition |
No |
7 |
0.295 |
$2.01 |
$-0.24 |
-10.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
20 |
0.093 |
$1.88 |
$-0.59 |
-23.8% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? |
Yes |
16 |
0.114 |
$1.79 |
$-2.71 |
-60.3% |
| Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.645 |
$1.43 |
$0.83 |
+138.9% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.095 |
$1.43 |
$-0.37 |
-20.8% |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? |
Yes |
2 |
0.650 |
$1.40 |
$0.65 |
+85.7% |
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? |
No |
3 |
0.500 |
$1.32 |
$0.71 |
+117.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? |
Yes |
19 |
0.068 |
$1.28 |
$-0.12 |
-8.8% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.275 |
$1.27 |
$0.12 |
+10.0% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%? |
Yes |
17 |
0.057 |
$0.96 |
$0.33 |
+52.7% |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
1 |
0.850 |
$0.85 |
$0.48 |
+129.5% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.390 |
$0.82 |
$0.36 |
+77.3% |
| Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.013 |
$0.75 |
$0.15 |
+25.0% |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? |
Yes |
4 |
0.170 |
$0.67 |
$0.04 |
+6.2% |
| Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? |
Yes |
16 |
0.041 |
$0.66 |
$-0.97 |
-59.5% |
| Will Donald Trump endorse Elon Musk in the 2028 US Presidential election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.040 |
$0.64 |
$0.16 |
+33.3% |
| Will LDPR win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections? |
Yes |
40 |
0.015 |
$0.60 |
$-0.20 |
-25.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.485 |
$0.60 |
$0.05 |
+9.7% |
| Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.190 |
$0.59 |
$-0.41 |
-40.6% |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? |
Yes |
3 |
0.175 |
$0.58 |
$-0.07 |
-10.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
3 |
0.195 |
$0.57 |
$-0.54 |
-48.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? |
Yes |
9 |
0.050 |
$0.45 |
$0.08 |
+20.7% |
| Will Donald Trump endorse Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2028 US Presidential election? |
Yes |
11 |
0.035 |
$0.38 |
$0.16 |
+72.5% |