| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? |
Yes |
40 |
0.070 |
$2.80 |
$-0.80 |
-22.2% |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
No |
4 |
0.560 |
$2.03 |
$0.80 |
+64.7% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? |
Yes |
16 |
0.129 |
$2.02 |
$-2.47 |
-55.1% |
| California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition |
No |
7 |
0.295 |
$2.01 |
$-0.24 |
-10.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
20 |
0.094 |
$1.90 |
$-0.57 |
-22.9% |
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? |
No |
3 |
0.595 |
$1.57 |
$0.96 |
+158.7% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.100 |
$1.50 |
$-0.30 |
-16.7% |
| Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.635 |
$1.41 |
$0.81 |
+135.2% |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? |
Yes |
2 |
0.605 |
$1.31 |
$0.55 |
+72.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? |
Yes |
19 |
0.068 |
$1.28 |
$-0.12 |
-8.8% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.275 |
$1.27 |
$0.12 |
+10.0% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
Yes |
10 |
0.097 |
$1.00 |
$-0.21 |
-17.1% |
| Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? |
Yes |
16 |
0.057 |
$0.92 |
$-0.71 |
-43.5% |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
1 |
0.880 |
$0.88 |
$0.51 |
+137.9% |
| Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.014 |
$0.84 |
$0.24 |
+40.0% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.390 |
$0.82 |
$0.36 |
+77.3% |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? |
Yes |
4 |
0.170 |
$0.67 |
$0.04 |
+6.2% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%? |
Yes |
17 |
0.039 |
$0.66 |
$0.03 |
+5.4% |
| Will Donald Trump endorse Elon Musk in the 2028 US Presidential election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.040 |
$0.64 |
$0.16 |
+33.3% |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July? |
Yes |
3 |
0.190 |
$0.63 |
$-0.02 |
-3.1% |
| Will LDPR win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections? |
Yes |
40 |
0.015 |
$0.60 |
$-0.20 |
-25.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.485 |
$0.60 |
$0.05 |
+9.7% |
| Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.185 |
$0.58 |
$-0.42 |
-42.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
3 |
0.185 |
$0.54 |
$-0.57 |
-51.3% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.260 |
$0.40 |
$0.02 |
+4.0% |