| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
Yes |
361 |
0.509 |
$183.74 |
$26.34 |
+16.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? |
Yes |
190 |
0.630 |
$119.78 |
$40.54 |
+51.2% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? |
Yes |
388 |
0.258 |
$100.20 |
$35.54 |
+55.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
110 |
0.865 |
$95.15 |
$40.15 |
+73.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
330 |
0.260 |
$85.78 |
$55.02 |
+178.8% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
542 |
0.145 |
$78.59 |
$-175.83 |
-69.1% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.928 |
$74.24 |
$58.24 |
+364.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
114 |
0.645 |
$73.39 |
$58.65 |
+398.1% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? |
Yes |
367 |
0.199 |
$73.03 |
$0.69 |
+1.0% |
| Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
70 |
0.999 |
$69.89 |
$0.03 |
+0.0% |
| Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
70 |
0.999 |
$69.89 |
$0.03 |
+0.0% |
| Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
70 |
0.998 |
$69.86 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
70 |
0.998 |
$69.86 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat? |
Yes |
72 |
0.915 |
$66.06 |
$29.96 |
+83.0% |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
70 |
0.915 |
$64.05 |
$17.85 |
+38.6% |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$50.02 |
$0.12 |
+0.2% |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$1.52 |
+3.1% |
| Will A.C. Toulme be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.95 |
$1.45 |
+3.0% |
| Will Jake Lang be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.94 |
$0.29 |
+0.6% |
| Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.92 |
$1.52 |
+3.2% |
| Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? |
No |
50 |
0.995 |
$49.74 |
$0.24 |
+0.5% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
50 |
0.994 |
$49.70 |
$31.40 |
+171.6% |
| Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? |
No |
50 |
0.994 |
$49.67 |
$1.17 |
+2.4% |
| Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? |
No |
50 |
0.992 |
$49.58 |
$0.33 |
+0.7% |