Log in
Trader leaderboard/itsjustcheddar

itsjustcheddar

0x2a315a8d15cfde768bcd47ba5cacf3ef5894f2f0
PnL (30d)
+$49
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$138
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
3,510W / 3,647L · 240 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
3,710W / 3,670L · 17 open
Trades (30d)
7,397
across 475 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
+$0.12
avg win $11 · loss $9
Profit Factor
1.02
$2,129 won / $2,080 lost
Reward / Risk
1.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$489
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $23,825 · all-time $2,745,920

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.0% 3,510W/3,647L 475 $31,153
⚽ Sports 40.0% 750W/1,124L 136 $16,820
🏛 Politics 20.0% 1W/4L 10 $883
💵 Economy 20.0% 1W/4L 8 $880

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

198 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? Yes 361 0.509 $183.74 $26.34 +16.7%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? Yes 190 0.631 $119.89 $40.65 +51.3%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? Yes 388 0.255 $98.84 $34.18 +52.9%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 110 0.865 $95.15 $40.15 +73.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 330 0.261 $85.95 $55.18 +179.4%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes 542 0.145 $78.59 $-175.83 -69.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 114 0.655 $74.52 $59.79 +405.8%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 80 0.929 $74.32 $58.32 +364.5%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? Yes 367 0.199 $73.03 $0.69 +1.0%
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.999 $69.89 $0.03 +0.0%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.999 $69.89 $0.03 +0.0%
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.998 $69.83 $-0.03 -0.0%
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.998 $69.83 $-0.03 -0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat? Yes 72 0.915 $66.06 $29.96 +83.0%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.925 $64.75 $18.55 +40.2%
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 50 1.000 $50.02 $0.12 +0.2%
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.17 +0.4%
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $1.52 +3.1%
Will A.C. Toulme be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? No 50 0.999 $49.95 $1.45 +3.0%
Will Jake Lang be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? No 50 0.999 $49.94 $0.29 +0.6%
Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? No 50 0.999 $49.92 $1.52 +3.2%
Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? No 50 0.995 $49.74 $0.24 +0.5%
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? No 50 0.994 $49.70 $31.40 +171.6%
Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? No 50 0.994 $49.67 $1.17 +2.4%
Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? No 50 0.991 $49.55 $0.30 +0.6%