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Trader leaderboard/itsjustcheddar

itsjustcheddar

0x2a315a8d15cfde768bcd47ba5cacf3ef5894f2f0
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$152
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+16.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
2W / 12L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
5W / 12L
Trades (30d)
17
across 17 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$10.87
avg win $115 · loss $6
Profit Factor
2.97
$229 won / $77 lost
Reward / Risk
17.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $24,089 · all-time $2,746,184

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.0% 3,510W/3,647L 476 $31,178
⚽ Sports 38.6% 628W/998L 126 $16,256
🏛 Politics 20.0% 1W/4L 10 $883
💵 Economy 20.0% 1W/4L 8 $880

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

198 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? Yes 361 0.509 $183.74 $26.34 +16.7%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? Yes 190 0.630 $119.78 $40.54 +51.2%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? Yes 388 0.258 $100.00 $35.34 +54.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 110 0.865 $95.15 $40.15 +73.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 330 0.259 $85.29 $54.52 +177.2%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes 542 0.145 $78.59 $-175.83 -69.1%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 80 0.924 $73.96 $57.96 +362.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 114 0.645 $73.39 $58.65 +398.1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? Yes 367 0.199 $73.03 $0.69 +1.0%
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.999 $69.89 $0.03 +0.0%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.999 $69.89 $0.03 +0.0%
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.998 $69.86 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.998 $69.86 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat? Yes 72 0.915 $66.06 $29.96 +83.0%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? No 70 0.915 $64.05 $17.85 +38.6%
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 50 1.000 $50.02 $0.12 +0.2%
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.17 +0.4%
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $1.52 +3.1%
Will A.C. Toulme be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? No 50 0.999 $49.95 $1.45 +3.0%
Will Jake Lang be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? No 50 0.999 $49.94 $0.29 +0.6%
Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? No 50 0.999 $49.92 $1.52 +3.2%
Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? No 50 0.995 $49.74 $0.24 +0.5%
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? No 50 0.994 $49.70 $31.40 +171.6%
Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? No 50 0.994 $49.67 $1.17 +2.4%
Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? No 50 0.991 $49.55 $0.30 +0.6%