PnL (30d)

+$225

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+27.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

53%

192W / 168L · 45 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

207W / 195L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

405

across 67 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$3.81

avg win $25 · loss $10

Profit Factor

1.65

$569 won / $344 lost

Reward / Risk

2.59

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$54

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.1% 568W/614L	245	$12,368
🌤 Weather	63.8% 95W/54L	37	$395
🏛 Politics	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$11
💵 Economy	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$11
🎬 Culture	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 6?	Yes	96	0.007	$0.72	$-0.24	-25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 5?	Yes	230	0.001	$0.11	$-2.10	-94.8%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on August 5?	Yes	145	0.001	$0.07	$-0.61	-89.4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 5?	Yes	58	0.001	$0.03	$-0.09	-75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5?	Yes	34	0.001	$0.02	$-3.84	-99.6%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 5?	Yes	14	0.001	$0.01	$-0.44	-98.5%