PnL (30d)

+$4,480

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+100.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

568W / 614L · 24 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

589W / 617L

Trades (30d)

1,206

across 241 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$18.98

avg win $72 · loss $11

Profit Factor

3.79

$6,087 won / $1,607 lost

Reward / Risk

6.73

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$346

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.1% 568W/614L	241	$12,343
🌤 Weather	66.0% 105W/54L	36	$373
🏛 Politics	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$11
💵 Economy	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$11
🎬 Culture	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$11

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5?	Yes	84	0.130	$10.92	$1.52	+16.2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 5?	Yes	220	0.011	$2.30	$0.11	+5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 5?	Yes	20	0.045	$0.90	$0.30	+50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 6?	Yes	96	0.007	$0.72	$-0.24	-25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 5?	Yes	58	0.003	$0.17	$0.06	+49.9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on August 5?	Yes	145	0.001	$0.07	$-0.61	-89.4%