mar1337
0x2a1bdf43ebb1dc28882fe8ee74fde47839616e41
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$1
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-5.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
50%
1W / 1L
Trades (30d)
2
across 2 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.30
avg win $7 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.92
$7 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,766 · all-time $227,730
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 6? |
Yes |
96 |
0.007 |
$0.72 |
$-0.24 |
-25.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 5? |
Yes |
230 |
0.001 |
$0.11 |
$-2.10 |
-94.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on August 5? |
Yes |
145 |
0.001 |
$0.07 |
$-0.61 |
-89.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 5? |
Yes |
58 |
0.001 |
$0.03 |
$-0.09 |
-75.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5? |
Yes |
34 |
0.001 |
$0.02 |
$-3.84 |
-99.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 5? |
Yes |
14 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-0.44 |
-98.5% |