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Trader leaderboard/DuneMentat

DuneMentat

0x28ca4e9a04531f2eac0c2770f95db4e1c6a65d19
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$22,676
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$290
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
404W / 339L · 72 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
458W / 355L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
815
across 169 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$155.32
avg win $54 · loss $901
Profit Factor
0.21
$6,158 won / $28,834 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$60
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,753 · all-time $3,168,738

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.8% 1,477W/801L 724 $227,316
🎬 Culture 70.2% 134W/57L 65 $14,361
🏛 Politics 86.4% 114W/18L 43 $11,317
⚽ Sports 88.2% 30W/4L 21 $3,233
🤖 Tech 50.9% 28W/27L 20 $2,505
💵 Economy 100.0% 8W/0L 6 $410
₿ Crypto 4 $36

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? No 3,952 0.942 $3,720.81 $-142.78 -3.7%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 4,625 0.685 $3,168.12 $1,319.42 +71.4%
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 2,356 0.740 $1,743.74 $-259.26 -12.9%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 2,595 0.565 $1,465.79 $-461.27 -23.9%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 1,201 0.942 $1,130.76 $525.31 +86.8%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No 1,084 0.894 $968.68 $289.18 +42.6%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 1,163 0.820 $953.53 $-27.99 -2.9%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 943 0.990 $933.09 $75.05 +8.7%
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? No 1,041 0.835 $869.24 $348.74 +67.0%
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No 814 0.941 $765.98 $196.59 +34.5%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 798 0.949 $757.31 $35.08 +4.9%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 3,286 0.215 $706.48 $-1,689.55 -70.5%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 704 0.998 $702.36 $96.98 +16.0%
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 678 1.000 $677.52 $128.28 +23.4%
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 697 0.950 $662.30 $170.75 +34.7%
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? No 1,092 0.600 $655.25 $-115.00 -14.9%
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 616 0.978 $602.33 $430.56 +250.7%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? No 803 0.705 $565.84 $200.97 +55.1%
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 602 0.894 $538.89 $-14.95 -2.7%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 779 0.645 $502.45 $227.78 +82.9%
Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee? No 500 0.999 $499.25 $8.75 +1.8%
Will DeVante R. Hill be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? No 500 0.975 $487.50 $-5.50 -1.1%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes 523 0.880 $460.24 $14.97 +3.4%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes 471 0.935 $440.57 $181.58 +70.1%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No 571 0.725 $414.27 $29.91 +7.8%