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Trader leaderboard/DuneMentat

DuneMentat

0x28ca4e9a04531f2eac0c2770f95db4e1c6a65d19
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$176
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$221
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
49W / 13L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
82%
61W / 13L
Trades (30d)
74
across 29 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$6.77
avg win $23 · loss $37
Profit Factor
1.68
$435 won / $259 lost
Reward / Risk
0.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,100 · all-time $3,171,758

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.9% 1,480W/801L 724 $227,316
🎬 Culture 70.2% 134W/57L 65 $14,361
🏛 Politics 86.4% 114W/18L 43 $11,317
⚽ Sports 88.2% 30W/4L 21 $3,233
🤖 Tech 50.9% 28W/27L 20 $2,505
💵 Economy 100.0% 8W/0L 6 $410
₿ Crypto 4 $36

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? No 3,952 0.942 $3,722.78 $-140.80 -3.6%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 4,625 0.685 $3,168.12 $1,319.42 +71.4%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 2,183 1.000 $2,182.35 $83.80 +4.0%
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 2,356 0.740 $1,743.74 $-259.26 -12.9%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 2,595 0.515 $1,336.31 $-590.75 -30.7%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 1,201 0.943 $1,131.96 $526.51 +87.0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No 1,074 0.894 $960.28 $287.05 +42.6%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 1,163 0.805 $936.09 $-45.43 -4.6%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 943 0.990 $933.09 $75.05 +8.7%
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? No 1,041 0.855 $890.05 $369.55 +71.0%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 902 0.935 $843.37 $53.96 +6.8%
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No 814 0.955 $776.97 $207.58 +36.5%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 704 0.999 $703.06 $97.68 +16.1%
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 678 1.000 $677.52 $128.28 +23.4%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 3,286 0.205 $673.62 $-1,722.41 -71.9%
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 697 0.950 $662.30 $170.75 +34.7%
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? No 1,092 0.595 $649.79 $-120.46 -15.6%
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 616 0.981 $604.18 $432.41 +251.7%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? No 803 0.705 $565.84 $200.97 +55.1%
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 602 0.894 $538.59 $-15.25 -2.8%
Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee? No 500 0.999 $499.25 $8.75 +1.8%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 779 0.635 $494.67 $219.99 +80.1%
Will DeVante R. Hill be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? No 500 0.977 $488.50 $-4.50 -0.9%
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes 1,030 0.465 $478.75 $196.85 +69.8%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes 523 0.880 $460.24 $14.97 +3.4%