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Trader leaderboard/DuneMentat

DuneMentat

0x28ca4e9a04531f2eac0c2770f95db4e1c6a65d19
PnL (30d)
−$15,137
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,227
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
1,475W / 801L · 767 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
2,084W / 958L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
3,043
across 724 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$29.00
avg win $62 · loss $347
Profit Factor
0.62
$25,085 won / $40,222 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,260
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,743 · all-time $3,168,728

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.8% 1,475W/801L 724 $227,316
🎬 Culture 71.2% 183W/74L 73 $21,197
🏛 Politics 84.7% 160W/29L 48 $17,550
🤖 Tech 47.6% 30W/33L 24 $2,820
⚽ Sports 88.2% 30W/4L 23 $3,293
💵 Economy 100.0% 14W/0L 7 $632
₿ Crypto 4 $36

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship? No 3,952 0.942 $3,722.78 $-140.80 -3.6%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 4,625 0.680 $3,145.00 $1,296.29 +70.1%
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 2,356 0.740 $1,743.74 $-259.26 -12.9%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 2,595 0.575 $1,491.99 $-435.06 -22.6%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 1,201 0.943 $1,131.96 $526.51 +87.0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No 1,084 0.894 $968.68 $289.18 +42.6%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 1,163 0.810 $941.90 $-39.62 -4.0%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 943 0.988 $931.20 $73.17 +8.5%
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? No 1,041 0.830 $864.03 $343.53 +66.0%
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No 814 0.958 $779.41 $210.02 +36.9%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 798 0.966 $770.89 $48.65 +6.7%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? No 3,286 0.220 $722.91 $-1,673.12 -69.8%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 704 0.998 $702.36 $96.98 +16.0%
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 678 1.000 $677.52 $128.28 +23.4%
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? No 1,092 0.615 $671.63 $-98.62 -12.8%
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 697 0.950 $662.30 $170.75 +34.7%
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 616 0.976 $601.10 $429.33 +250.0%
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? No 803 0.695 $557.74 $192.86 +52.9%
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 602 0.885 $533.47 $-20.37 -3.7%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 779 0.645 $502.45 $227.78 +82.9%
Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee? No 500 0.999 $499.25 $8.75 +1.8%
Will DeVante R. Hill be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? No 500 0.975 $487.50 $-5.50 -1.1%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes 523 0.880 $460.24 $14.97 +3.4%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes 471 0.935 $440.57 $181.58 +70.1%
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No 571 0.725 $414.27 $29.91 +7.8%