PnL (30d)

−$878

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-33.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

16W / 20L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

17W / 20L

Trades (30d)

37

across 21 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$43.90

avg win $170 · loss $115

Profit Factor

0.49

$850 won / $1,728 lost

Reward / Risk

1.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$978

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	29.3% 149W/360L	219	$73,178
₿ Crypto	41.4% 29W/41L	41	$9,631
💵 Economy	23.5% 4W/13L	13	$1,800
🏛 Politics	—	1	$50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	No	2,648	0.085	$225.07	$-129.83	-36.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?	No	9,980	0.020	$199.61	$-150.38	-43.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	3,038	0.055	$167.11	$-546.35	-76.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 7?	No	714	0.120	$85.71	$-14.29	-14.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?	No	8,411	0.009	$71.50	$-214.25	-75.0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 7?	No	1,000	0.070	$70.00	$-30.00	-30.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	5,832	0.010	$58.32	$-322.13	-84.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	1,053	0.055	$57.89	$-142.10	-71.1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 8?	No	1,250	0.045	$56.25	$-43.75	-43.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4,019	0.013	$54.26	$4.26	+8.5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7?	No	1,806	0.024	$43.33	$-106.67	-71.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?	No	4,564	0.006	$29.67	$-186.65	-86.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	529	0.036	$19.04	$-80.96	-81.0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5?	No	4,502	0.003	$13.51	$-186.49	-93.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	842	0.009	$7.57	$-92.42	-92.4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5?	No	714	0.010	$7.14	$-92.86	-92.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	3,218	0.002	$4.83	$-95.17	-95.2%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 5?	No	1,000	0.004	$4.50	$-95.50	-95.5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 6?	No	1,667	0.003	$4.17	$-95.83	-95.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	No	1,429	0.001	$1.43	$-48.57	-97.1%