PnL (30d)

−$18,168

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2,092

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-38.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

29%

149W / 360L · 41 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

161W / 389L

Trades (30d)

550

across 219 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$91.76

avg win $260 · loss $175

Profit Factor

0.35

$9,863 won / $28,031 lost

Reward / Risk

1.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5,836

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	29.3% 149W/360L	219	$73,178
₿ Crypto	41.4% 29W/41L	41	$9,631
💵 Economy	23.5% 4W/13L	13	$1,800
🏛 Politics	—	1	$50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	No	2,648	0.095	$251.55	$-103.35	-29.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?	No	9,980	0.020	$199.61	$-150.38	-43.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	3,038	0.045	$136.73	$-576.74	-80.8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 7?	No	714	0.155	$110.71	$10.71	+10.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?	No	8,411	0.013	$109.35	$-176.40	-61.7%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 7?	No	1,000	0.070	$70.00	$-30.00	-30.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	1,053	0.055	$57.89	$-142.10	-71.1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 8?	No	1,250	0.045	$56.25	$-43.75	-43.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4,019	0.013	$54.26	$4.26	+8.5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7?	No	1,806	0.026	$46.94	$-103.05	-68.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	5,832	0.008	$46.66	$-333.79	-87.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?	No	4,564	0.006	$29.67	$-186.65	-86.3%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5?	No	4,502	0.006	$27.01	$-172.98	-86.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	529	0.038	$20.36	$-79.64	-79.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5?	No	714	0.013	$9.29	$-90.71	-90.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	842	0.010	$8.42	$-91.58	-91.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	3,218	0.002	$4.83	$-95.17	-95.2%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 5?	No	1,000	0.004	$4.50	$-95.50	-95.5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 6?	No	1,667	0.003	$4.17	$-95.83	-95.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	No	1,429	0.003	$3.57	$-46.43	-92.9%