PnL (30d)

−$9,379

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$625

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-43.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

82W / 172L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

32%

84W / 180L

Trades (30d)

264

across 113 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$89.33

avg win $257 · loss $171

Profit Factor

0.35

$5,143 won / $14,523 lost

Reward / Risk

1.51

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,843

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	29.3% 149W/360L	219	$73,178
₿ Crypto	36.8% 21W/36L	34	$8,080
💵 Economy	25.0% 4W/12L	12	$1,700
🏛 Politics	—	1	$50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	No	2,648	0.075	$198.59	$-156.31	-44.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?	No	9,980	0.019	$189.63	$-160.36	-45.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	3,038	0.055	$167.11	$-546.35	-76.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 7?	No	714	0.120	$85.71	$-14.29	-14.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?	No	8,411	0.009	$79.91	$-205.84	-72.0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 7?	No	1,000	0.065	$65.00	$-35.00	-35.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	1,053	0.060	$63.16	$-136.84	-68.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4,019	0.015	$58.28	$8.28	+16.6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 8?	No	1,250	0.045	$56.25	$-43.75	-43.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	5,832	0.009	$49.57	$-330.88	-87.0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 7?	No	1,806	0.025	$45.86	$-104.14	-69.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?	No	4,564	0.007	$31.95	$-184.37	-85.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	529	0.035	$18.25	$-81.75	-81.8%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 5?	No	4,502	0.003	$13.51	$-186.49	-93.2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5?	No	714	0.013	$8.93	$-91.07	-91.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	842	0.009	$7.15	$-92.85	-92.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	3,218	0.002	$4.83	$-95.17	-95.2%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 5?	No	1,000	0.004	$4.50	$-95.50	-95.5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 6?	No	1,667	0.003	$4.17	$-95.83	-95.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	No	1,429	0.001	$1.43	$-48.57	-97.1%