| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
544 |
0.525 |
$285.40 |
$23.47 |
+9.0% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
325 |
0.585 |
$189.92 |
$-10.87 |
-5.4% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
200 |
0.490 |
$97.78 |
$9.87 |
+11.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
120 |
0.685 |
$82.21 |
$10.60 |
+14.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
146 |
0.465 |
$67.69 |
$2.26 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
120 |
0.375 |
$44.96 |
$0.53 |
+1.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
137 |
0.295 |
$40.32 |
$1.71 |
+4.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
64 |
0.480 |
$30.84 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
59 |
0.460 |
$27.29 |
$-0.96 |
-3.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
121 |
0.225 |
$27.16 |
$-2.33 |
-7.9% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
48 |
0.506 |
$24.40 |
$3.86 |
+18.8% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.886 |
$22.53 |
$5.23 |
+30.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
48 |
0.325 |
$15.71 |
$-1.69 |
-9.7% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
120 |
0.056 |
$6.67 |
$-7.29 |
-52.2% |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.955 |
$5.01 |
$0.39 |
+8.5% |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
5 |
0.996 |
$4.98 |
$-0.01 |
-0.2% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
6 |
0.875 |
$4.87 |
$-0.08 |
-1.7% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.860 |
$4.36 |
$0.46 |
+11.7% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.852 |
$4.25 |
$0.09 |
+2.1% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
293 |
0.013 |
$3.95 |
$-2.76 |
-41.1% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
219 |
0.018 |
$3.95 |
$-4.62 |
-53.9% |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
426 |
0.009 |
$3.84 |
$-1.92 |
-33.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
106 |
0.033 |
$3.45 |
$-1.15 |
-25.0% |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? |
Yes |
5 |
0.640 |
$3.41 |
$-0.74 |
-17.9% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
48 |
0.065 |
$3.09 |
$-1.67 |
-35.0% |