PnL (30d)

−$38

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-42.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 107L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 108L

Trades (30d)

108

across 2 markets · ~54 per market

EV / position

−$38.17

· loss $38

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $38 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.3% 47W/185L	136	$12,478
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	35	$1,378
💵 Economy	87.5% 7W/1L	20	$1,780
🎬 Culture	—	1	$5
🤖 Tech	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

63 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	544	0.515	$279.96	$18.03	+6.9%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	259	0.580	$150.49	$-11.84	-7.3%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	200	0.490	$97.78	$9.87	+11.2%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	120	0.685	$82.21	$10.60	+14.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	146	0.455	$66.24	$0.80	+1.2%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	No	120	0.375	$44.96	$0.53	+1.2%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	64	0.485	$31.16	$0.32	+1.0%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	59	0.470	$27.89	$-0.36	-1.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	121	0.225	$27.16	$-2.33	-7.9%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	48	0.510	$24.60	$4.05	+19.7%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	25	0.886	$22.53	$5.23	+30.2%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	60	0.295	$17.61	$2.10	+13.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	48	0.325	$15.71	$-1.69	-9.7%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	120	0.055	$6.61	$-7.35	-52.7%
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	293	0.021	$6.00	$-0.71	-10.6%
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?	No	5	0.952	$5.00	$0.38	+8.1%
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	5	0.998	$4.99	$0.00	+0.1%
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	6	0.875	$4.87	$-0.08	-1.7%
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	5	0.860	$4.36	$0.46	+11.7%
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	5	0.839	$4.19	$0.02	+0.6%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	106	0.033	$3.45	$-1.15	-25.0%
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	5	0.620	$3.30	$-0.85	-20.5%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	219	0.015	$3.18	$-5.39	-62.9%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	48	0.065	$3.09	$-1.67	-35.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	121	0.025	$3.02	$1.32	+77.8%