| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
544 |
0.515 |
$279.96 |
$18.03 |
+6.9% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
259 |
0.580 |
$150.49 |
$-11.84 |
-7.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
200 |
0.490 |
$97.78 |
$9.87 |
+11.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
120 |
0.685 |
$82.21 |
$10.60 |
+14.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
146 |
0.465 |
$67.69 |
$2.26 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
120 |
0.375 |
$44.96 |
$0.53 |
+1.2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
64 |
0.485 |
$31.16 |
$0.32 |
+1.0% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
Yes |
59 |
0.480 |
$28.48 |
$0.23 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
121 |
0.225 |
$27.16 |
$-2.33 |
-7.9% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
48 |
0.510 |
$24.60 |
$4.05 |
+19.7% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.886 |
$22.53 |
$5.23 |
+30.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
60 |
0.295 |
$17.61 |
$2.10 |
+13.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
48 |
0.325 |
$15.71 |
$-1.69 |
-9.7% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
120 |
0.055 |
$6.61 |
$-7.35 |
-52.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
293 |
0.021 |
$6.00 |
$-0.71 |
-10.6% |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.952 |
$5.00 |
$0.38 |
+8.1% |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
5 |
0.998 |
$4.99 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
6 |
0.875 |
$4.87 |
$-0.08 |
-1.7% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.860 |
$4.36 |
$0.46 |
+11.7% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.839 |
$4.19 |
$0.02 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
106 |
0.033 |
$3.45 |
$-1.15 |
-25.0% |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? |
Yes |
5 |
0.610 |
$3.25 |
$-0.90 |
-21.8% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
219 |
0.015 |
$3.18 |
$-5.39 |
-62.9% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
48 |
0.065 |
$3.09 |
$-1.67 |
-35.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
121 |
0.025 |
$3.02 |
$1.32 |
+77.8% |