| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.905 |
$8.70 |
$3.89 |
+81.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.969 |
$4.98 |
$0.30 |
+6.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.875 |
$4.97 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.395 |
$4.82 |
$-0.06 |
-1.2% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.940 |
$4.70 |
$2.30 |
+95.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.870 |
$4.35 |
$1.00 |
+29.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.710 |
$2.11 |
$1.72 |
+446.1% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
6 |
0.185 |
$1.18 |
$0.10 |
+8.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
5 |
0.125 |
$0.62 |
$-0.42 |
-40.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
22 |
0.026 |
$0.59 |
$-0.52 |
-47.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.038 |
$0.46 |
$-0.89 |
-66.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.011 |
$0.05 |
$-0.45 |
-89.5% |