| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
10 |
0.875 |
$8.41 |
$3.60 |
+75.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.875 |
$4.97 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.966 |
$4.97 |
$0.29 |
+6.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.395 |
$4.82 |
$-0.06 |
-1.2% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.940 |
$4.70 |
$2.30 |
+95.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.860 |
$4.30 |
$0.95 |
+28.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.675 |
$2.00 |
$1.62 |
+419.2% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
6 |
0.185 |
$1.18 |
$0.10 |
+8.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
5 |
0.155 |
$0.78 |
$-0.28 |
-26.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
22 |
0.032 |
$0.71 |
$-0.40 |
-36.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.038 |
$0.46 |
$-0.89 |
-66.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.011 |
$0.05 |
$-0.45 |
-89.5% |