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Trader

0x238fe1b4a91d47bda4fb418dd4a6a09494983015
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
381W / 227L · 196 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
458W / 340L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
804
across 86 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$0.02
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.96
$29 won / $31 lost
Reward / Risk
0.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $33,643 · all-time $3,463,868

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.3% 4,948W/2,399L 920 $9,689
🏛 Politics 47.6% 89W/98L 61 $485
💵 Economy 16.2% 13W/67L 38 $273
₿ Crypto 16.2% 13W/67L 31 $208
🎬 Culture 45.7% 64W/76L 30 $250
⚽ Sports 65.4% 17W/9L 17 $85
🤖 Tech 100.0% 5W/0L 4 $16
🔬 Science 2 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No 88 0.043 $3.78 $0.03 +0.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? Yes 70 0.024 $1.65 $-0.24 -13.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes 4 0.405 $1.50 $0.80 +113.1%
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes 16 0.079 $1.26 $0.14 +12.1%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No 4 0.345 $1.25 $0.31 +32.6%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat? Yes 34 0.035 $1.19 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 25 0.042 $1.04 $-0.87 -45.4%
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 1 0.640 $0.81 $0.54 +204.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 5 0.155 $0.77 $-0.37 -32.6%
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.075 $0.75 $0.05 +7.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 32 0.022 $0.70 $-1.15 -62.1%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 4 0.153 $0.66 $0.25 +60.7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 9 0.074 $0.63 $0.03 +5.7%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 5 0.128 $0.60 $0.25 +70.7%
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? Yes 8 0.070 $0.59 $-0.17 -22.2%
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes 4 0.130 $0.52 $-0.28 -35.0%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? No 32 0.015 $0.50 $-1.36 -73.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? Yes 2 0.228 $0.41 $0.30 +261.8%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 106 0.004 $0.37 $-0.05 -12.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat? Yes 40 0.009 $0.34 $-1.54 -81.9%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? No 1 0.215 $0.30 $-0.02 -6.5%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes 2 0.125 $0.30 $-0.25 -45.6%
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 5 0.053 $0.25 $-0.55 -68.5%
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? Yes 2 0.095 $0.23 $0.04 +18.7%
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 14 0.015 $0.22 $-0.28 -55.1%