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Trader

0x238fe1b4a91d47bda4fb418dd4a6a09494983015
PnL (30d)
+$75
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$40
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
4,948W / 2,388L · 2,209 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
6,208W / 3,219L · 118 open
Trades (30d)
9,545
across 920 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$0.12
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.22
$421 won / $346 lost
Reward / Risk
1.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$72
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $31,673 · all-time $3,461,897

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.4% 4,948W/2,388L 920 $9,689
🏛 Politics 48.6% 89W/94L 61 $485
💵 Economy 17.3% 13W/62L 38 $273
₿ Crypto 16.2% 13W/67L 31 $208
🎬 Culture 45.7% 64W/76L 30 $250
⚽ Sports 65.4% 17W/9L 17 $85
🤖 Tech 100.0% 5W/0L 4 $16
🔬 Science 2 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? Yes 134 0.015 $2.08 $0.33 +19.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No 51 0.040 $2.01 $0.13 +6.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? Yes 211 0.009 $1.90 $0.00 +0.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes 4 0.405 $1.50 $0.80 +113.1%
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes 16 0.079 $1.26 $0.14 +12.1%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No 4 0.345 $1.25 $0.31 +32.6%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat? Yes 34 0.035 $1.19 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 5 0.165 $0.82 $-0.32 -28.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 14 0.060 $0.81 $-0.09 -10.4%
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 1 0.640 $0.81 $0.54 +204.7%
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.080 $0.81 $0.10 +14.3%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 4 0.166 $0.72 $0.30 +73.8%
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? No 32 0.021 $0.66 $-1.20 -64.7%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 5 0.128 $0.60 $0.25 +70.7%
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? Yes 8 0.070 $0.59 $-0.17 -22.2%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 16 0.033 $0.52 $0.02 +4.8%
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes 4 0.125 $0.50 $-0.30 -37.5%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 106 0.004 $0.42 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes 27 0.015 $0.41 $-1.19 -74.3%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? No 1 0.220 $0.31 $-0.01 -4.3%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes 2 0.125 $0.30 $-0.25 -45.6%
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 5 0.053 $0.25 $-0.55 -68.5%
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31? Yes 2 0.095 $0.23 $0.04 +18.7%
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 14 0.015 $0.22 $-0.28 -56.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat? Yes 40 0.005 $0.20 $-1.68 -89.4%