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Trader

0x1fd861f8ace78120a4a1fb49136306131b611de3
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
1W / 3L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
5W / 9L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
16
across 6 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.92
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.13
$0 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,768 · all-time $352,663

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.9% 93W/351L 173 $8,913
💵 Economy 41.7% 5W/7L 12 $311
₿ Crypto 14.3% 1W/6L 4 $82
⚽ Sports 2 $61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by August 31? Yes 90 0.460 $41.40 $-6.50 -13.6%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.620 $24.80 $-1.20 -4.6%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31? No 40 0.485 $19.40 $-1.00 -4.9%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.75T in 2026? No 35 0.510 $17.85 $3.51 +24.4%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? No 40 0.440 $17.60 $-2.40 -12.0%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.75T in 2026? No 20 0.715 $14.30 $0.30 +2.1%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 23 0.560 $12.88 $1.38 +12.0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of August 3 2026? No 40 0.250 $10.00 $-3.60 -26.5%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.5T in 2026? No 20 0.495 $9.90 $-6.90 -41.1%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? (copy) Yes 20 0.260 $5.20 $-3.60 -40.9%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31? Yes 60 0.035 $2.12 $-2.08 -49.4%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $690 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.011 $0.42 $-4.38 -91.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 2 0.175 $0.32 $0.10 +48.0%