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Trader

0x1fd861f8ace78120a4a1fb49136306131b611de3
PnL (30d)
−$586
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$30
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
93W / 351L · 154 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
125W / 412L · 61 open
Trades (30d)
598
across 173 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.84
avg win $2 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.09
$55 won / $641 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$29
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,651 · all-time $352,546

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.9% 93W/351L 173 $8,913
💵 Economy 21.1% 4W/15L 14 $394
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/14L 6 $164
⚽ Sports 2 $61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by August 31? Yes 90 0.475 $42.75 $-5.15 -10.8%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.75T in 2026? No 35 0.595 $20.82 $6.48 +45.2%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31? No 40 0.485 $19.40 $-1.00 -4.9%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? No 40 0.445 $17.80 $-2.20 -11.0%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.75T in 2026? No 20 0.715 $14.30 $0.30 +2.1%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 23 0.555 $12.77 $1.26 +11.0%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.5T in 2026? No 20 0.495 $9.90 $-6.90 -41.1%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? (copy) Yes 20 0.255 $5.10 $-3.70 -42.0%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31? Yes 60 0.035 $2.12 $-2.08 -49.4%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 3 0.670 $2.01 $0.06 +3.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $690 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.011 $0.42 $-4.38 -91.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 2 0.175 $0.32 $0.10 +48.0%